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The chance that El Niño will continue through Northern Hemisphere winter is currently about 95%. Blogger Emily Becker answers questions about what it all means.
Guest blogger Ken Takahashi assesses the prospects for this El Niño to be an extreme one in the eastern tropical Pacific, like the 1982 and 1997 events were.
ENSO forecasters are predicting this El Niño will be a strong one. What does that mean?
El Niño continues to build. What happened during June? What's the forecast? And what does Bruce Lee have to do with anything?
“El Niño is Strong!” “No, it’s Moderate!” “But the [insert your favorite ENSO indicator here] is the largest it’s been since the El Niño of 1997-98!”
...but it's still a seasonal forecaster's best friend.
There’s a very high probability that El Niño will continue through the fall and early winter, and it could become a strong event.
El Niño is the 800-pound gorilla for the winter climate in the U.S., but in summer, it's more like a 6-pound Chihuahua.
Forecasters estimate the chance that El Niño will continue through the end of 2015 at greater than 80%. What's behind this confident forecast?
Why is it so difficult to make a good ENSO prediction during the Northern Hemisphere spring?