June 22, 2017

How much do ENSO blog writers like marine-based observations? Enough for one of them to write a love letter to a buoy. 

March 22, 2017

Now that the 2016-2017 winter is over with, it's time to look back and see what happened. Did our winter outlook do well?

December 21, 2016

How does La Niña and the jet stream impact winter conditions in the United States?

August 25, 2016

Understanding the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) as multiple layers of ice cream.  And how is it related to the El Niño-Southern Oscillation?  

November 20, 2015

With multiple sea surface temperature datasets come questions. What are they all for?

June 25, 2015

...but it's still a seasonal forecaster's best friend.

February 27, 2015

How do we verify forecasts that use probabilities? Read on to find out.

January 16, 2015

Blogger Tom Di Liberto explains the math behind some of the tests that seasonal forecasters use to check forecast skill, and then shows how skillful the past decade's winter forecasts have been.

December 19, 2014

A first look at how we evaluate seasonal forecasts. How well do our eyes do?

November 26, 2014

An El Niño means lots of rain for California, correct? Well, some of the time, but not always.

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