February 12, 2015

Deadly flooding has replaced the dry start to the 2014-2015 southern Africa monsoon, and the wet season has several months left go.

February 11, 2015

Millions of people in southern Africa depend on monsoon rains that begin around November and last until March or April. If the monsoon is erratic, millions of people can suffer. So far in 2014-2015, the monsoon in southeastern Africa has been anything but normal.

January 29, 2015

Devastating floods across Malaysia and Thailand in late December and mid-January bear the hallmarks of an enhanced MJO climate pattern superimposed on the seasonal monsoon.

January 23, 2015

During the second half of December and the beginning of January, places from Sri Lanka to northwest Australia experienced exceptionally heavy rains, flash floods, and landslides.

January 12, 2015

As California's wet season began in December 2014, it seemed the atmosphere had finally remembered how to rain on the West Coast. Does this mean we can finally stop talking about the drought?

January 26, 2018

La Niña usually means a drier than average water year for California. So what happened in 2016-2017 when a weak La Niña coincided with a remarkably wet water year?

January 11, 2018

La Nina conditions appear to have peaked in strength and will likely last through the upcoming winter.

September 28, 2017

The forecast of ENSO is not the only thing scientists use when making seasonal forecasts. This post looks at another predictor that often is even better to use than ENSO.

June 22, 2017

How much do ENSO blog writers like marine-based observations? Enough for one of them to write a love letter to a buoy. 

March 22, 2017

Now that the 2016-2017 winter is over with, it's time to look back and see what happened. Did our winter outlook do well?