May 3, 2021

The May 2021 outlook favors warmth for the southern half of the country and a wet East-dry West split.

January 4, 2021

January 2021 is favored to be wetter and warmer than average for much of the country.

photo of libby barnes standing at her desk, with two computer monitors showing weather maps and drawings
May 31, 2017

Between the weekly forecast and a seasonal outlook—and often less accurate than both—sit “sub-seasonal” weather predictions. In this profile, atmospheric scientist Libby Barnes talks about her work leading a NOAA task force whose members are trying to overcome the special challenges of forecasting over the 2-week to 2-month horizon. 

January 29, 2015

Devastating floods across Malaysia and Thailand in late December and mid-January bear the hallmarks of an enhanced MJO climate pattern superimposed on the seasonal monsoon.

September 24, 2020

 Guest blogger Marybeth Arcodia explains her latest research into how the Madden-Julian Oscillation and ENSO sometimes enhance each other's influence on U.S. precipitation and other times cancel each other out.

temperature anomalies associated with PNA
April 23, 2019

Stand aside polar vortex!  The PNA may be the most important atmospheric circulation pattern you've never heard of.  

MJO impacts on 2017-18 winter
February 22, 2018

How this winter's temperature swings may have been partially driven by the Madden Julian Oscillation or MJO.  

August 10, 2017

Why the tropical Pacific is exceptionally ENSO-Neutral and what does it mean. 

March 2, 2017

In this installment of our Beyond the Data blog, Carl Schreck talks about how a tropical climate pattern called the MJO left its fingerprints all over California's soaking rains and Boston's recent snowstorm.

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