September 12, 2017

Our blogger delves into the thinking behind this month’s La Niña Watch.

July 27, 2017

Want to know a little bit about how climate models work?

June 8, 2017

Our blogger discusses the ENSO forecast, with a side of climate change.

May 11, 2017

The chance El Niño will develop is about equal to the chance that the tropical Pacific will stay in neutral. What are forecasters looking at this month?

March 8, 2017

The tropical Pacific has shifted into neutral. Our blogger reviews the evidence under consideration by forecasters this month.

February 9, 2017

La Niña has ended. Our blogger covers what happened last month and what forecasters think is in store for the next few months.

January 11, 2017

La Niña conditions are still in place, but a transition to neutral is looming. Our blogger takes stock of the season.

December 8, 2016

La Niña is forecast to hang on for just a few more months. Meanwhile, November was an active month in the tropics.

November 10, 2016

This month, all signs are pointing to the presence of La Niña conditions.

October 13, 2016

Odds are back on for the development of La Niña this fall. Our blogger discusses what happened during September to change the forecast.