A much warmer than normal July is favored across the northern tier of the country, paired with boosted chances for a relatively dry July around the Great Lakes.
Globally, May 2023 was the third-warmest May in the 174-year NOAA record. It's virtually certain that the year 2023 will rank among the 10-warmest years on record.
Much of the West was warmer than average in May, but the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast were cooler than average.
What are the odds? This post explains whether your corner of the U.S. is facing elevated odds of an unusually wet, dry, warm, or cool June.
Climate outlooks are different from weather forecasts, and it's easy to misunderstand what the maps are telling us. Let us explain.
Globally, it was the fourth-warmest April on record, but for the oceans, it was record warm.
Monthly and year-to-date climate highlights from NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.
There's a 50-60 percent chance of a much warmer than average May in parts of the Pacific Northwest, and a 50-60 percent chance of a much wetter than average May in parts of California.
NOAA predicts moderate to major spring flooding along the upper Mississippi River from Minneapolis to St. Louis.
Despite the cooling influence of La Niña, 2022 was the sixth-warmest year on record.