This week, Beyond the Data looks at one of the more well-grounded “rules of thumb” for understanding climate change: cooler "things" are warming more quickly than warmer things.
Guest blogger Ken Takahashi assesses the prospects for this El Niño to be an extreme one in the eastern tropical Pacific, like the 1982 and 1997 events were.
NCEI's Jake Crouch reflects on entering the field of climate monitoring during a historic drought in the Southern Plains.
...but it's still a seasonal forecaster's best friend.
How do we verify forecasts that use probabilities? Read on to find out.