September 26, 2019

New research weighs in on a popular debate about whether reduced Arctic sea ice is causing extreme mid-latitude winters. Their result? Blame the atmosphere, not the ice. 

July 1, 2019

Is it possible for us to predict the strength of El Niño or La Nina in the same way we currently predict whether we are in El Niño or La Nina?  Recent research from NOAA's ENSO forecasting team looks directly at this question. 

March 28, 2019

How did the 2018-2019 Winter outlook do? Tom Di Liberto takes you through what happened in this week's ENSO blog. 

September 27, 2018

New research suggests the climate change could affect how ENSO impacts temperature and wildfires. Read on to learn what that means.

March 22, 2018

In this week's ENSO blog, Tom DiLiberto gets all judgy over the 2017-2018 Winter Outlook—using science of course.

January 26, 2018

La Niña usually means a drier than average water year for California. So what happened in 2016-2017 when a weak La Niña coincided with a remarkably wet water year?

January 11, 2018

La Nina conditions appear to have peaked in strength and will likely last through the upcoming winter.

September 28, 2017

The forecast of ENSO is not the only thing scientists use when making seasonal forecasts. This post looks at another predictor that often is even better to use than ENSO.

June 22, 2017

How much do ENSO blog writers like marine-based observations? Enough for one of them to write a love letter to a buoy. 

March 22, 2017

Now that the 2016-2017 winter is over with, it's time to look back and see what happened. Did our winter outlook do well?

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