The predicted combination of a much warmer than average and much drier than average September across the country's middle is bad news for the ongoing drought in the Plains and Deep South.
How will the current El Niño impact coastal flooding over the next year? Guest blogger William Sweet and his colleagues discuss how the combination of long-term sea level rise and El Niño have increased the risk of high-tide flooding along both U.S. coastlines.
July 2023 was the warmest July on record. Ocean surface temperatures were record warm for the fourth month in a row.
Record-breaking heat waves hit the Southwest during July.
The August temperature outlook favors well above-average temperatures across the southern tier of the country. Above-average precipitation is favored across the middle of the country.
July is the hottest month of the year. How hot might it be in the future?
Earth had its warmest June on record, with ocean temperatures hotter than any month in the historic record.
June brought the country extreme heat and billion-dollar severe storms.
When forecasters remove the observed trend from sea surface temperatures, the predicted heat wave area drops from 50 percent of the global ocean to 25 percent.
A much warmer than normal July is favored across the northern tier of the country, paired with boosted chances for a relatively dry July around the Great Lakes.