No, your eyes are not deceiving you. The latest ENSO Outlook does in fact favor the end of La Niña with a slightly over 80% chance that ENSO-Neutral conditions will reign supreme by springtime. For more on that and another look at how daily temperatures vary during winter, click below.
The January 2023 climate outlook favors a wetter-than-average start to the new year for the western US, northern Plains, Great Lakes and Tennessee Valley, and a warmer-than-average month for the central and eastern United States.
The December 2022 climate outlook favors a colder-than-average month across the northern US, and a warmer-than-average month across the southern US. Meanwhile, odds are tilted towards a wetter-than-average December for the West and Ohio and Tennessee Valleys.
The September 2022 climate outlook favors a warmer-than-average month for most of the contiguous United States along with a dry/wet split between the northern and southern tiers of the U.S.
For summer heat in Texas, whether it's La NIña now is less important than whether it was La Niña the previous winter.
The August 2022 climate outlook favors a hotter-than-average month for much of the contiguous United States outside of the Southwest where the monsoon is expected to bring wetter and cooler-than-average conditions
The July 2022 Climate outlook favors a hotter-than-average month for much of the country with a continuation of the wet start to the North American monsoon across the Southwest.
The June climate outlook favors a hotter-than-average start to summer for the southern and eastern United States and a cooler-than-average June for the north-central and northwestern U.S.
Forecasts provide an opportunity for us to reduce other stress on ocean life and prepare communities for economic impacts.