Climate at the core: how scientists study ice cores to reveal Earth’s climate history
Like a prehistoric fly trapped in amber during dinosaurs' days, airborne relics of Earth's earlier climate—including dust, air bubbles, sea salts, volcanic ash, and soot from forest fires—can end up trapped in glacial ice for eons. To climate scientists, those relics tell a story about how our planet's climate and atmosphere have changed over thousands of years.
What they find out could have an impact on worldwide civilization within a few generations—especially in coastal regions. Ice cores may reveal whether Antarctica's western ice sheet melted fully the last time Earth's climate warmed to the temperatures the planet is predicted to reach in the next two centuries. If it did, it's likely to again, which would raise sea levels significantly enough to threaten many seaside cities.
"We have some evidence that may have happened, but we aren't sure," says Erich Osterberg, who studies ice cores as an assistant professor in the Department of Earth Science at Dartmouth College.
Unlocking ice cores' secrets
To unlock the information inside an ice core, researchers in the lab may melt or crush the sample bit by bit; each deeper layer represents a slightly earlier time in the Earth's climate history. The ice arrives in small strips, about 1-by-1 inch apiece, which are smaller slices of the roughly three-foot-long, coffee-can-wide pieces a drill pulls out of a glacier.
Sometimes researchers are studying actual bubbles of the early atmosphere, trapped in the ice as it formed. To collect them, they crush the sample under a vacuum hood, which keeps other air out while they pull the newly released air into vials.
Scientists run melted samples through various instruments—mass spectrometers, scanning electron microscopes, gas chromatographs—to find tiny pieces of pollution, like sulfates, traces of metals, or radioactive fallout, or natural aerosols like dust or volcanic ash.
Because every clue in the ice, whether a grain of sea salt or an air bubble, is so miniscule and the measurements must be incredibly precise, any analysis must be done in a "clean room" setting. The researchers wear body suits and multiple layers of gloves; the room must have ultraclean filters and vents to keep the air pristine.
"Even just a fingerprint from a scientist holding the core can ruin the sample," Osterberg says.
Mystery in the melt
After analyzing enough ice core slices, which may each represent anywhere from a week to a year of time, a researcher can look for patterns to track changes in the atmosphere's composition and temperature, and what activity on Earth shaped it.
The ratio of "light" oxygen-16 to "heavy" oxygen-18 in a sample, for instance, reveals the global temperature when the ice formed; it takes colder temperatures for water vapor containing the lighter oxygen isotope to turn into precipitation. Examining the gasses trapped in ice cores is how scientists first learned that the amount of carbon dioxide and the global temperature have been linked at least the last million years of Earth's history.
Osterberg even thinks ice cores will help figure out whether Antarctica's western ice sheet melted 125,000 years ago, the last time Earth's climate warmed to the temperatures the planet is predicted to reach in the next two centuries.
Scientists hope to collect a new ice core from the eastern side of the Trans-Antarctic Mountains, which today separate the East and West Antarctic Ice Sheets. Much of the land under the West Antarctic Ice Sheet is below sea level. If the ice sheet did disintegrate, then the proposed ice core drilling location—presently in the middle of the frozen continent—would have been coastal real estate 125,000 years ago.
http://lima.usgs.gov/">Landsat Image Mosaic Antarctica data.
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"We would see much warmer temperatures and higher levels of sea salt reflected in the ice core chemistry if this location was hundreds of miles closer to the ocean in the past," Osterberg said.
Ice core trekkers
Before the climate fossils can tell their stories, however, they must be retrieved. Rugged researchers like Osterberg and his colleagues may spend multiple summers scoping never-before-explored areas on glaciers before trekking out to collect a core. To pick the spot, they check the ice's thickness and layers (the flatter the better) and put out GPS markers to track how quickly the ice is flowing and deforming (the slower the better).
Setting up base camp and drilling into the ice may take six to eight weeks for two cores that are each 700 feet long, Osterberg says. Some researchers, particularly in Antarctica, may drill two miles and take much longer.
"Something always goes awry," Osterberg says. "You're doing this in one of the most extreme environments you can imagine—far from help, remote, with not a lot of spare parts."
And that's before dealing with weather and wildlife.
When drilling an ice core at a remote site in Greenland in 2012, his team found out that a hurricane-strength storm was headed their way. Because their tents and equipment were high up on an unprotected, rocky ridge, the best defense would have been to move down into the valley. But they'd camped up high for a reason—warming temperatures in the region had been melting sea ice, which was driving many polar bears onto the land. The ridge was the best place to avoid them.
"We had to chose between storm and polar bear," Osterberg says. They chose storm—and lost most of their tents as a result, though help reached them in a few days.
The difficulties don't end when the core is drilled. Moving ice cores from a drilling site to the various laboratories worldwide that want a piece is a whole other challenge. The cores are usually airlifted off the top of the mountain, then shipped by air or truck in refrigerated crates, racing against the clock before they start to degrade. Precautions include paying customs officials to babysit crates on airport tarmacs and hiring a second truck to follow the first in case it breaks down.
"There's no insurance dollar you can put on it: they're priceless," Osterberg says.
The Paleoclimatology Branch at NOAA's National Climatic Data Center doesn't warehouse actual ice cores, but it is the world's largest archive of climate and paleoclimatology data. By providing a long-term, permanent home for data collected by researchers across the world, the group ensures that ice core and other ancient climate data is available to all scientists who are trying to understand and model climate and environmental changes that occur over hundreds or thousands of years.
NOAA Paleoclimate Data
The Oxygen Balance from NASA Earth Observatory
Ice Core Proxy Methods for Tracking Climate Change (ProQuest)
Greenland Ice Sheet Project 2 (University of NH Climate Change Research Center)