Fig_5_Knutson_BAMS_revised_3_9_20_1500.jpg

Summary of projected regional and global changes in tropical cyclones (TC) assuming a 2° Celsius (3.6° Fahrenheit) global warming scenario. Each panel shows the median (dark blue line) and percentile ranges (light blue columns) for projected percentage changes in total TC frequency, Category 4–5 TC frequency, TC intensity, and TC near-storm rain rates derived from published studies. For TC frequency, the 5^th–95^th-percentile range across the studies is shown. For category 4–5 TC frequency, TC intensity, and TC near-storm rain rates the 10^th–90^th-percentile range is shown. Note the different vertical-axis scales used for the two halves of each panel. Source: Knutson, T. et al., 2020: Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Assessment. Part II: Projected Response to Anthropogenic Warming. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0194.1