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Natural Climate Patterns
- Department:February 11, 2015
Millions of people in southern Africa depend on monsoon rains that begin around November and last until March or April. If the monsoon is erratic, millions of people can suffer. So far in 2014-2015, the monsoon in southeastern Africa has been anything but normal.
- Department:February 5, 2015
At the beginning of February, the atmosphere was looking a little bit like El Niño. Is this just another rolling stone?
- Department:January 29, 2015
Devastating floods across Malaysia and Thailand in late December and mid-January bear the hallmarks of an enhanced MJO climate pattern superimposed on the seasonal monsoon.
- Department:January 23, 2015
During the second half of December and the beginning of January, places from Sri Lanka to northwest Australia experienced exceptionally heavy rains, flash floods, and landslides.
- Department:January 22, 2015
The tropical Pacific Ocean sloshes around like water in your bathtub. These waves are as important as the vortex of water that spirals down the drain.
- Department:January 16, 2015
Blogger Tom Di Liberto explains the math behind some of the tests that seasonal forecasters use to check forecast skill, and then shows how skillful the past decade's winter forecasts have been.
- Department:December 19, 2014
A first look at how we evaluate seasonal forecasts. How well do our eyes do?