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Natural Climate Patterns
Department:January 29, 2015Devastating floods across Malaysia and Thailand in late December and mid-January bear the hallmarks of an enhanced MJO climate pattern superimposed on the seasonal monsoon.
Department:January 23, 2015During the second half of December and the beginning of January, places from Sri Lanka to northwest Australia experienced exceptionally heavy rains, flash floods, and landslides.
Department:January 22, 2015The tropical Pacific Ocean sloshes around like water in your bathtub. These waves are as important as the vortex of water that spirals down the drain.
Department:January 16, 2015Blogger Tom Di Liberto explains the math behind some of the tests that seasonal forecasters use to check forecast skill, and then shows how skillful the past decade's winter forecasts have been.
Department:December 31, 2014Several times a year the MJO contributes to various extreme events in the United States, including Arctic air outbreaks during winter across the central and eastern portions of the country.
Department:December 19, 2014A first look at how we evaluate seasonal forecasts. How well do our eyes do?
Department:December 10, 2014If we look only at rainfall changes, and not ocean temperatures, can we get a clearer picture of how climate change will influence ENSO? Guest blogger Mat Collins from University of Exeter explains what recent studies have to say.
Department:December 5, 2014From Hawaii to the Florida Keys, the surprising intensity of coral heat stress in 2014 has scientists wondering what to expect in 2015, when El Niño is forecasted to finally develop.
Department:December 4, 2014The ENSO Diagnostic Discussion just came out. Sea surface temperatures are solidly above average in the equatorial Pacific... so what's behind forecasters' decision not to declare El Niño conditions?
Department:December 3, 2014(video) Alabama grower Myron Johnson talks about how learning to use seasonal outlooks for rain and temperature has made his operation more resilient to swings in climate, including those triggered by El Niño.
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