The most likely explanation for the lack of significant warming at the Earth’s surface in the past decade or so is that natural climate cycles caused shifts in ocean circulation patterns that moved some excess heat into the deep ocean.

A heat wave struck the Midwest in late August and early September 2013. This map shows the hottest temperatures in the United States between August 1 and September 8, 2013, based on data from NOAA's Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis.

flooded houses on Breezy Point following Hurricane Sandy

Understanding how extreme events in 2012 were influenced—or not—by human-caused climate change

The Spring Outlook encompasses temperature, precipitation, drought, and flooding expectations for the coming three months, and Mike Halpert, Acting Director of the Climate Prediction Center, discusses the outlook and its implications.
 

Deke Arndt talks about how we can learn to make better decisions, become more resilient, and be “climate smart” in the face of extreme events.

Transcript

Deke Arndt, Chief of the Climate Monitoring Branch, National Climatic Data Center

After 16 consecutive months with warmer-than-normal conditions, the U.S. is headed for its warmest year on record.

 

In summer of 2012, warm and dry climate climate conditions combined with weather to spark one of the West's largest wildfire seasons yet.

Pages